Data from Routewatche shows Borno and Katsina States are at the highest risk of insecurity. According to the June Security risk index, a total of 277 incidents leading to 680 fatalities were recorded in the month under review bringing the country's security index to 22.6 points. Adebayo Adeleke, Founder of Routewatche joins CNBC Africa to unpack the report and evaluate the exposure of everyday Nigerians to security threats.
Data from Routewatche shows Borno and Katsina States are at the highest risk of insecurity. According to the June Security risk index, a total of 277 incidents leading to 680 fatalities were recorded in the month under review bringing the country's security index to 22.6 points. Adebayo Adeleke, Founder of Routewatche joins me now to unpack the report and evaluate the exposure of everyday Nigerians to security threats. Thank you so much for joining us on the show today Adebayo. Walk us through the highlights of this report here, the pinpoint areas and which states which states are at the highest risk. Thank you David for having me again. I really do appreciate you trying to shed some light on the first ever, let me just put it out with the first ever Nigerian security index. Over the course of time I realized that with all our security challenges we've not really addressed the issue of security from the index perspective. So the quite interesting part is that we've always used the numbers, the raw numbers to assess the situation, security situation of Nigeria and we've always looked at it from the national level. Nigeria is not monolithic in any shape or form but our constitution are so many ways the way we actually made it up. So we start looking at it from the sub-nationals and region we start realizing that there's difference in the way on different security postures across across different sub-nationals and then over the course of time we realized that you know 50 percent of I mean five less than five percent of Nigerians are exposed to certain degree of terrorism, a certain degree of fatalities but the other 95 they are not. But yet the whole country is being tagged as terrorist infested or what not. So we started looking at how do we measure Nigerian security in such a way in such a manner that we don't compromise the integrity of the data but at the same time we capture the nuances that surrounds the peculiarity of Nigerian geopolitical space and that's what we've tried to try to do here with the first security index. So my question so far although I do not see considering the high risk because of their numbers not only because of what is currently going on but over the past few years and we've seen the likes of excuse me to see the likes of across river Jigawa and most of southern states south western states have really improved drastically in their security postures and of course we can actually do these things in so many ways but I know Jigawa has really worked hard to actually secure their borders to make sure that they use a lot of line of effort to get their security posture right. Yes and talking about the adjustments in security posture now let's talk about the use of data visualization AI part predictions to identify potential threats and now you talked about nuances at play here the floods are introducing new dynamics at play we're seeing large numbers of people being deployed but how then do we utilize these sort of strategies to help nip in the bud opportunistic elements that take these climatic conditions or the challenges here as another element of attack? Absolutely so it's like you've again a question right how do we use the issues of AI and this is one of the reasons why we're actually putting all these reports out being to use data and to be able to address our data collection methodology especially when it comes to security but security is not it's not an isolated issue it has so many tangents to be as you can see what's going on in Borno with flooding and all these climatic issues that we have they're all interwoven so the idea the end state of this thing that we started hopefully we have governmental collaboration is to be able to use both on the business side and the government to come together and use necessary resources to provide early warning systems to use AI predictions on where crimes are is this sociological issues and anthropological issues and that is why we use what we call the non-kinetic actors non-kinetic elements a line of effort to address well that was Adebayo Adeleke, founder of RootWatch
Theme: Insecurity Risk Assessment in Nigerian States
Data from Routewatche has identified Borno and Katsina States in Nigeria as facing the highest risk of insecurity. The June Security Risk Index reported a total of 277 incidents resulting in 680 fatalities in a single month, pushing the country's security index to 22.6 points. Adebayo Adeleke, the Founder of Routewatche, recently appeared on CNBC Africa to delve into the findings of the report and assess the exposure of everyday Nigerians to security threats. During the interview, Adeleke highlighted the significance of the first-ever Nigerian security index. He emphasized the need to move beyond simply analyzing raw numbers at a national level and instead focus on the security postures of different sub-national regions. Adeleke pointed out that while a small percentage of Nigerians are exposed to terrorism and fatalities, the majority of the population is not, underscoring the importance of assessing security on a more localized level. Adeleke specifically mentioned that states such as Cross River, Jigawa, and various southern and southwestern states have witnessed significant improvements in their security postures. He commended Jigawa for its efforts in securing its borders and enhancing its overall security measures. By highlighting these success stories, Adeleke emphasized the importance of recognizing and applauding states that have effectively addressed security challenges. The conversation then shifted towards the utilization of data visualization, artificial intelligence (AI), and predictive analytics to anticipate potential security threats. Adeleke explained the intricate connection between security issues and other external factors, such as climatic conditions like flooding. He stressed the need for collaboration between the government and businesses to leverage these technologies for early warning systems and predictive crime analysis. In addressing multifaceted security challenges, Adeleke introduced the concept of non-kinetic actors and elements to tackle societal and anthropological issues that contribute to insecurity. By incorporating a holistic approach that considers various dimensions of security threats, Adeleke highlighted the importance of utilizing all available resources to mitigate risks and preempt attacks. As Nigeria continues to grapple with security concerns, reports like those from Routewatche provide valuable insights into the evolving landscape of threats and vulnerabilities. By shedding light on specific states at high risk, such as Borno and Katsina, and showcasing advancements in security measures in other regions, stakeholders are empowered to tailor interventions and responses to address localized security challenges effectively.
"Nigeria is not monolithic in any shape or form but our constitution are so many ways the way we actually made it up."
['Routewatche', 'Nigeria', 'Borno State', 'Katsina State', 'security risk', 'Adebayo Adeleke', 'data visualization', 'AI', 'predictive analytics']